As China’s leaders confront mounting domestic social, economic, and public health-related stresses, how should the U.S. respond over the next year? While the broadly competitive framework of the U.S.-China relationship is unlikely to change, opportunities may emerge for the United States to advance discrete affirmative priorities with China in the year ahead, Ryan Hass argues.
David Dollar was featured on Laura Pavin's The Insightful Leader podcast alongside Nancy Qian and Ben Jones. They discuss escalating geopolitical tensions and China’s potentially irreplaceable role in the global supply chain. David speaks about China's exit from the COVID Zero policy, the likelihood of future similarly drastic policy changes, and the financial stability of the Chinese system given issues in the real estate sector and the trend of decoupling.
In this article, Ryan Hass outlines the drastic shift in the respective positions of China and the United States from the beginning to the end of 2022. He also covers potential flashpoints in the U.S.-China relationship for the next year, including North Korea’s nuclear program, China–India border flare-ups and rising tensions in the Taiwan Strait.
Rethinking China’s rise, restraints, and resilience. On Wednesday, February 8, the John L. Thornton China Center at Brookings will host an online panel discussion, moderated by Diana Fu, featuring distinguished authors of new books focusing on the historical, political, and economic elements that are shaping the current state of the U.S.-China relationship. Christopher Marquis, Stephen Roach, Susan Shirk, and Suisheng Zhao will discuss the factors that have led to China’s drastic transformation and new domestic and external challenges and how they will affect the future of U.S.-China relations and of the world.
The future of the U.S.-China competition for human capital. On January 10, the John L. Thornton China Center at Brookings hosted a panel of experts to discuss the human capital dynamics and respective policy approaches between the U.S. and China and how they affect geopolitical and economic competition both domestically and on the world stage.
China’s shifting foreign policy. Ryan Hass was featured on Bonnie Glaser's China Global Podcast from the German Marshall Fund. He discusses Xi Jinping’s public diplomacy at the G20 Summit, the elevation of Qin Gang to foreign minister, and internal and external pressures that are shaping China's behavior on the world stage. He also speaks about China's relationships with Australia and Southeast Asian countries and pinpoints future indicators of change regarding China's foreign policy.
Previewing the U.S. and global economies in 2023. On the newest edition of the Dollar & Sense podcast, host David Dollar and guest Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti anticipate key trends in the U.S. and global economies. Their conversation examines the U.S. inflation picture, along with economic conditions in China and other parts of the world.
Biden now has the leverage over Xi to cool China tensions. In an op-ed for the Financial Review, Ryan Hass asserts that China’s global influence has taken a hit over the past year, while that of the U.S. has bounced back. Hass says that this switch of fortunes gives President Biden the chance to take the lead on resetting the relationship with Beijing.
In the news
Xi Jinping loyalists compete for power. Cheng Li was quoted in the Financial Times regarding the new landscape of power politics in China following the 20th Party Congress.
COVID is complicating China’s efforts to re-engage with the world. The Economist quoted Ryan Hass on his suggestions for the Biden Administration given Xi Jinping's current strategy.
U.S.-China trade is close to a record, defying talk of decoupling. Bloomberg quoted David Dollar's prediction that the U.S. and China can have a competitive relationship and still be highly economically intertwined: "I just don’t think U.S. policy is going to go down that road, whatever the rhetoric."
Xi’s return and implications for the People’s Liberation Army. Cheng Li’s work on the Chinese People’s Liberation Army was cited in a recent brief by the Observer Research Foundation.
China's new foreign minister. Ryan Hass was quoted in a Politico article regarding how Qin Gang's experience as Ambassador to the U.S. will affect the way he approaches China's foreign policy.
China's COVID generation. Diana Fu was quoted in a Financial Times article about how Beijing's swift reversal of COVID restrictions has exacerbated economic inequality.
The sidelining of one of China's most prominent "wolf warriors." Ryan Hass was quoted by NPR regarding whether Beijing is softening its stance abroad.
About the China Center
The John L. Thornton China Center develops timely, independent analysis and policy recommendations to help U.S. and Chinese leaders address key long-term challenges, both in terms of U.S.-China relations and China's internal development.
The Brookings Institution, 1775 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC 20036
