Claims that a new bipartisan consensus has emerged on the U.S. approach to China are premature, write Richard Bush and Ryan Hass. The real divide is actually between political centrists and the polar ends of the political spectrum, and the debate is far from settled.
The track record of U.S. engagement with China over the past four decades is mixed, writes David Dollar, who evaluates eight episodes of U.S.-driven diplomacy. While these mixed outcomes make it difficult to decide what to do next, some lessons could help inform a strategy going forward.
Tax cuts and fee reductions were among the reforms officially announced during this year's annual "Two Sessions" in Beijing. Cheng Li says that these are positive changes likely to spur growth not only in the Chinese economy but also around the globe.
On April 22, the John L. Thornton China Center will welcome the host of the “U.S.-China Dialogue Podcast,” James Green, for a conversation with Wendy Cutler, David Shear, and Dennis Wilder. The group will weigh the insights and oversights gathered through four decades of interacting with the Chinese government.
Trump-Xi meeting likely to avoid fate of the Trump-Kim summit. Although U.S.-North Korea talks collapsed last month in Hanoi, any such meeting between President Trump and President Xi would serve mostly as a capstone to in-depth agreements between both sides. "The nature of the negotiation is much different,” Cheng Li told The New York Times. “Both sides will have a much better understanding in advance of whether there is a chance of success.”
China's harsh words evince a diplomatic strategy. In recent months, Chinese diplomats have voiced their displeasure toward policies and actions within numerous international settings. In an interview with Bloomberg News, Ryan Hass says the behavior is not "a pattern of misstatements and slips of the tongue."
Xi Jinping conducts political balancing act at annual "Two Sessions" in Beijing. Ahead of the annual gathering of the National People's Congress and Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, Cheng Li told the Associated Press that Xi Jinping faced a "delicate situation" politically.
About The China Center
The John L. Thornton China Center develops timely, independent analysis and policy recommendations to help U.S. and Chinese leaders address key long-term challenges, both in terms of U.S.-China relations and China's internal development.