The groups behind a “blue wave.” President Trump will not be on the ballot on Tuesday, but both his supporters and detractors are likely to vote as if he were. William Frey examines possible turnout scenarios for key groups who have historically opposed Trump’s policies, including black and Hispanic Americans and women with college degrees.
How will the middle class vote? President Trump made a number of promises on taxes and trade to the American middle class, but it’s not clear that his actions—or lack thereof—will impact this group’s voting behavior. Richard Reeves argues we should look for only modest changes in the voting patterns of the American middle class.
Youth could determine the elections—if they turn out. An estimated 8 million more Americans are eligible to vote this year than in 2016. Andre Perry highlights the issues driving young adults to the polls and several voter suppression efforts that have aimed to shut them out.