Setting low expectations for the China- U.S. relationship, monitoring illicit activity at sea, and how Russian instability spooks Beijing.
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Brookings Foreign Policy

June 30, 2023

 

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Fighters of Wagner private mercenary group are seen atop of a tank while being deployed near the headquarters of the Southern Military District in the city of Rostov-on-Don, Russia.

What is the fallout of Russia's Wagner rebellion?

 

After Wagner warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin’s march on Moscow, scholars across the Brookings Foreign Policy program unpack the implications for Russia and the rest of the world.

 

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And on an episode of The Current podcast, Susan B. Glasser interviews Angela Stent, Michael E. O'Hanlon, and Constanze Stelzenmüller about the longer-term consequences for Russian stability and European security.

Karaganov's nuclear rant ought to scare Lukashenko

 

Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko's agreement to host Russian nuclear arms makes his country a more likely nuclear target if a conflict were to erupt between NATO and Russia, Steven Pifer argues.

 

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What's at stake for China in the Wagner rebellion?

 

The instability following the Wagner revolt has unnerved China's leaders, who are anxious about the threat that an unstable Russia would pose to China's security, writes Patricia M. Kim. 

 

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Quote

“The 'settlement' supposedly brokered by President Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus leaves Putin, who was invisible during the day except for a short morning TV broadcast, as damaged goods.”

 

June 26, 2023 | Steven Pifer, POLITICO

 

International affairs 

 

What social media firms can teach the Department of Defense. In a new report, Melanie W. Sisson and Dan Patt explain how to develop a better system to monitor and warn about People's Liberation Army maritime operations.

 

The virtue of low expectations. Ryan Hass outlines in Foreign Affairs how modest goals and active diplomacy can redirect the relationship between China and the United States.

 

Can Germany keep pace? Writing for Internationale Politik Quarterly, Daniel Hamilton analyzes the evidence that Germany's new National Security Strategy lacks adequate funding and innovation.

 

Syria's post-quake politics. The earthquake that struck Syria and Turkey in February set in motion a series of events leading to Syria's readmission to the Arab League. This is a significant win for the Assad regime, argues Steven Heydemann in the Italian Institute for International Political Studies' Rome MED Dialogues.

 

A blocked road to democracy. Writing in the Middle East Journal, Shadi Hamid takes stock of democratic optimism and failure in the Middle East over the past 50 years.

 

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