As artificial intelligence grows more sophisticated and the cost of computing drops, deepfakes will pose an even greater threat during armed conflicts. Daniel L. Byman, Chongyang Gao, Chris Meserole and V.S. Subrahmanian explain what policymakers need to know.
Ryan Hass details how China's leaders' dexterity in managing relations with the United States affects how their performance is perceived at home. The U.S.-China relationship is unlikely to become less competitive, but opportunities may emerge for Washington to advance its priorities in the year ahead.
Separately, Ryan Hass writes in an East Asia Forum op-ed that the great power competition between the United States and China has shifted in the former's favor, due to Beijing's increasing domestic troubles.
How will the future of the nearly 8 million refugees who have fled Ukraine since Russia's invasion shape their country's reconstruction? Kemal Kirişci and Sophie Roehse argue that a comprehensive reconstruction effort must address this question.
"[Putin] has said that alliances limit one’s freedom of maneuver and that there are only a few truly sovereign states, that Russia is one of them and it wants to act without any restraints on what it can do. But this has now backfired on him, because he’s launched this war without any allies or partners, and Russia is very alone in it."
